Monsoon Rains to Soak the Southwest Before Shifting Into the Plains

Monsoon Rains to Soak the Southwest Before Shifting Into the Plains

From Drought to Downpours: A Weather Turnaround

The weather story unfolding across the United States right now is one of extremes. While the Southeast has been dealing with relentless rainfall, much of the West has been parched by record-setting dryness. Cities like Las Vegas, Los Angeles, Phoenix, and Flagstaff are facing rainfall deficits of more than 4 inches this year. This has left vegetation, soil, and entire landscapes dangerously dry, intensifying drought conditions.

Arizona, in particular, is struggling with widespread drought. Nearly the entire state is affected, with 30–40% experiencing extreme or exceptional drought levels. The Valley of the Sun and surrounding regions desperately need relief—and it appears that change is finally on the way.

Monsoon Season Brings Much-Needed Rain

The seasonal Southwest monsoon is starting to deliver showers and thunderstorms across the region. While not expected to produce severe weather, these storms will bring a welcome shift from dry skies to wet conditions.

  • Arizona & New Mexico: Rainfall is expected to spread from Flagstaff to Albuquerque. Even a modest half-inch of rain in these dry regions can trigger flooding due to hardened ground that cannot quickly absorb moisture.
  • Colorado & Utah: From Denver to Moab and Salt Lake City, spotty showers and increasing cloud cover are in the forecast.
  • Nevada: Las Vegas may finally see relief from its prolonged dryness with scattered showers and thunderstorms.

One important caution: despite the rainfall, residents should remain alert to dry thunderstorms. These storms produce visible rain shafts, but the rain evaporates before reaching the ground, increasing the risk of lightning-related wildfires.

Flooding Risk in the Southwest

Unlike the Carolinas, where several inches of rainfall are often required to cause flooding, the Southwest’s desert terrain can flood with less than an inch of rain. Areas such as northern New Mexico could see two to three inches in the coming days, which could quickly overwhelm dry riverbeds and washes. Families are urged to keep children away from low-lying washes, as flash flooding can develop suddenly.

Rain Shifts Toward the Plains

The monsoon pattern is expected to shift eastward by midweek. Showers and thunderstorms could hit Kansas, Colorado, and the surrounding Plains states, spreading the much-needed moisture into regions that have also been experiencing dry conditions.

What to Expect This Week

  • Today–Tomorrow: Showers and thunderstorms develop in Arizona and New Mexico.
  • Midweek (Tuesday–Thursday): Rain spreads into Colorado, Utah, and Nevada, with heavier pockets in Flagstaff and Albuquerque.
  • Late Week: Monsoonal moisture shifts into the Plains, including Kansas, bringing additional rainfall opportunities.

Final Thoughts

The Southwest’s long-awaited rain is finally arriving, promising some short-term relief for drought-stricken communities. However, while this rain is much needed, it also brings the risk of flash flooding and dry thunderstorms. Staying weather-aware will be essential over the coming week.

For residents from Arizona to the Plains, this monsoon season offers both hope for drought relief and a reminder of the challenges that come with sudden weather extremes.